BY OSWALDO GUZMAN
Feb. 2, 2021 the groundhog checked if there would be six more weeks of winter if there would be an early spring. The groundhog who checks to see if there will be six more weeks of winter or an early spring Punxsutawney Phil is also known as “the seer of seers” and “prognosticator of all prognosticators” has predicted winter 106 times and spring 20 times with records from ten years to history. Punxsutawney Phil predictions have been at least 39% correct.
According to NWS Morristown Webmaster
the temperatures do start slightly above normal with a significant cool-down to 10-15 degrees below normal by early next week with some chances of wintry precipitation Sunday into Monday. For the week following this week, climate oscillation indices do suggest continued chances for below normal temperatures.
The Climate Prediction Center
(https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/) sends out forecasts for departure from normal temperatures and precipitation and is calling for higher chances for an active and seasonally cold pattern in the eight to 14-day, or two week period. NWS Morristown Webmaster said, “Beyond the 2-week period, the tendency for near to slightly below normal temperatures is favored with near to above normal precipitation. The CPC forecasts for three to four weeks from now (late Feb/early Mar) suggest equal chances for above or below normal temperatures and favorability for below normal precipitation. Five to six weeks from now, largely equal chances exist from what we can see. The chances are higher for below normal temperatures and an active pattern than for a significant warm-up during the next several weeks. The groundhog will be likely correct for the foreseeable future of at least the next two weeks, perhaps longer.” The source is NWS Morristown Webmaster.